Although agricultural producers can’t make it rain, experts like Retta Bruegger, a rangeland specialist with the Colorado State University Extension, hopes to empower farmers and ranchers with tools to make better decisions, in spite of uncertainty.
In 2020, as Bruegger responded to one of the worst droughts in state history, she recognized the need for better drought planning. Bruegger joined forces with Harrison Topp of the Rocky Mountain Farmers Union. The pair formed
Colorado Drought Advisors.
Today, Colorado Drought Advisors provides personalized advising to agricultural producers around the state.
Rather than focus on “silver bullet” solutions, Bruegger said drought planning works to identify “individual vulnerabilities” since each operation is different. Advisors work with producers to identify thresholds when producers need to make important decisions, like reducing herd size.
“How can we use reasonably reliable information to make good decisions?” said Bruegger. “And at what point in time are we making those decisions?”
Producers in the region have faced drought for hundreds of years. But Schumacher said climate change could lead to more extreme conditions on both ends.
“When it rains, it might rain harder, but then you get longer periods in between,” he said.
Lori Wisner said that it’s scary knowing conditions could worsen.
“My grandparents had a farm out in Weld County and their well dried up and they had to re-dig another well. That’s an option for a while, but what if it gets to the point where you can’t re-dig wells? What if the water levels are so low that we don’t have any water period?” she said.
Warmer temperatures can also increase “evaporative demand,” or how much water the air is sucking from the landscape.
“All else being equal, if it's warmer, that air is thirstier for that water,” said Schumacher.
While some researchers are interested in supply-side solutions, like
cloud seeding, Schumacher thinks that decreasing demand for water is a more viable approach. He points to
research by colleagues at Colorado State University who are working to develop drought tolerant crop varieties and methods for limited irrigation agriculture. Currently, agriculture accounts for 89% of the state’s consumptive
water use.
Despite the challenges drought has created, the Wisners have no plans to jump ship.
“We’re in this full time and sometimes we wonder why we do it and whether we should quit, between not having any time, being so tired and the expense of it all,” said Lori Wisner. “But it brings a lot of satisfaction to know that we’re raising healthy food and healthy animals.”